Bejarin, Wacnang, Baac lead poll survey
TABUK, Kalinga - If elections in Kalinga were held last week, James Bejarin, Lawrence Wacnang and Josel Baac would be the winning candidates for congressman, governor and vice governor, respectively.
This was reflected in a province-wide poll survey conducted by students under the Public Administration Society of the Kalinga-Apayao State College during the last week of April 2007. The organization's advisers accordingly made use of of random sampling on respondents across multi-sectoral groups in the province of Kalinga with 290 respondents.
Although the purpose of the poll survey was to determine the level of political maturity of the Kalinga voting populace and their acceptance of intelligent voting this coming May 14, 2007 elections their preferred choice specially for the top three posts of the province was also asked.
Survey results show James "Bond" Bejarin leading the four other candidates in the Congressional race. Bejarin, the chief legislative staff of two successive Kalinga congressmen was preferred by 110 respondents representing 43.65 percent of the total sample.
Former DPWH undersecretary, Manuel S. Agyao, came in second for the congressional choice with 54 voter preference representing 21.42 percent then followed by former Governor Macario Duguiang with 34 representing 13.49 percent. Joseph Delson came in 4th with 29 representing 11.5 percent while Danzel Langkit got 25 or 9.92 percent. Of the 290 respondents, 38 or 13 percent have not yet decided on their candidate for congressman.
For the Provincial Governor position, three term Congressman Lawrence Wacnang came in first with a wide margin in the survey. Wacnang, who pursued the cityhood of Tabuk before his last term in Congress, was the preferred choice of 146 respondents representing 76.84 percent of the total sample.
KASC Professor Floydelia Diasen, a replacement candidate of his slain husband came in second to Wacnang. She was preferred by 26 respondents representing 13.68 percent while the third candidate lawyer Warren Luyaben was preferred by 18 respondents representing a low 9.47 percent. Of the 290 respondents, however, 100 do not yet have a choice or believe their choice is immaterial to reverse a trend.
A similar wide margin for for the vice governorship was also seen in the survey. Former Vice Governor Jocel Baac was preferred by 129 respondents representing 62.93 percent. Benny Duyan came in second with 40 or 19.51 percent then slimly followed by Bulanao Barangay Chairman Benedict Sugguiyao preferred by 26 respondents representing 17.56 percent of the total respondents for vice governor. 85 respondents do not yet have a choice for vice governor.
Focus of the survey was to determine the level of acceptance of the voting public in Kalinga on the issue of close relatives running at the same time for political positions, as well as their main reasons in supporting candidates of their choice.
"Dubbed as the Pulso ng Bayan Kalinga," the survey was conducted by Public Administration students of KASC supervised by their advisers Mr. Jeremias Ammakiw, Dr. Raymond Balbin and Dr. Maximo Garming.
On the issue of close relatives running at the same time for political positions, respondents revealed that their opinion on the above issue is not significant in determining their choices of candidates. Rather, their main concerns were more on the qualities of leadership, commitment to public service, and especially on the educational qualifications, experience and proven track records of the candidates. These bases of choice are indicative of a growing political maturity and broadmindedness of voters, the survey said.
While Bejarin and Wacnang are relatives by affinity, the survey result shows- that the issue of political dynasty is an insignificant factor in supporting candidates.
The survey also shows that the consistent reasons for the choice of candidates are as follows: continuity of track record on good public service in the promotion of development, good governance and greater commitment to economic and political stability, and teamwork or cooperation in governance.
Among the dissatisfiers identified are: political monopoly; loss of trust and confidence; and deprivation of opportunities for new and fresh candidates for political positions.
The researchers, however, believe that the final result will still be reflected on May 14. A political analyst said "survey results normally challenges the runner-ups for a reversal of trend".
In the Kalinga voting tradition, the most critical period are the few remaining days before election and a couple of days after.
1 comment:
Very interesting. It's good to know that an academic group is doing surveys like this. I wonder how close the survey results would be to the actual voting results.
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